UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men Assumption 2
  
Assumption            
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 96.0004

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H D'Youville ECC ( 6- 3, 89.8) 22- 4 214 H Mercy ECC ( 5- 4, 94.9) 12-13 221 A Georgian Court CACC ( 3- 7, 89.7) 17- 7 227 A Post CACC ( 6- 3, 89.6) 18-10 301 H Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 3- 5, 89.2) 13- 5 307 A Virginia State D2 Independen ( 1- 7, 82.8) 21- 5 314 A Pace NE10 ( 8- 1, 96.9) 10-11 317 H Southern New Hampshire NE10 ( 4- 3, 94.3) 11- 6 321 A American International NE10 ( 1- 8, 81.9) 24-12 328 H St Anselm NE10 ( 7- 0, 98.7) 12-15 401 A Franklin Pierce NE10 ( 2- 5, 85.7) 404 H St Michaels NE10 ( 6- 2, 95.4) 411 H Adelphi NE10 ( 9- 0, 99.9) 414 A Bentley NE10 ( 3- 5, 93.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H D'Youville             22- 4      18     7           0.00
   214 H Mercy                  12-13      -1     1    -     -2.46
   221 A Georgian Court         17- 7      10     6           0.00
   227 A Post                   18-10       8     6           0.00
   301 H Roberts Wesleyan       13- 5       8     7           0.00
   307 A Virginia State         21- 5      16    13           0.00
   314 A Pace                   10-11      -1    -1           0.22
   317 H Southern New Hampshire 11- 6       5     2    +      2.90
   321 A American International 24-12      12    14           0.00
   328 H St Anselm              12-15      -3    -2          -0.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Mercy                  12-13      -1     1    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Southern New Hampshire 11- 6       5     2    +      2.90

Assumption Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adams State Assumption   Assumption
Adelphi Adelphi insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Assumption   Assumption
American International Assumption Assumption  
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Barton Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Belmont Abbey Assumption   Assumption
Bentley Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Assumption
Bridgeport Assumption insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Assumption
Caldwell Assumption Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Catawba Assumption   Assumption
Chestnut Hill Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Chowan Assumption insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Assumption
Coker Assumption   Assumption
Colorado Mesa Assumption   Assumption
Concordia-Irvine Assumption   Assumption
D'Youville Assumption Assumption  
Davenport Assumption   Assumption
Davis & Elkins Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
District of Columbia Assumption Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Dominican (CA) Assumption   Assumption
Dominican (NY) Assumption Assumption   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Embry-Riddle Assumption   Assumption
Emmanuel (GA) Assumption   Assumption
Emory & Henry Assumption   Assumption
Felician Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Flagler Assumption   Assumption
Florida Southern Assumption   Assumption
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Franklin Pierce Assumption insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Assumption
Frostburg State Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Assumption
Georgian Court Assumption Assumption  
Holy Family Assumption insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Assumption
Indianapolis Assumption   Assumption
Lake Erie Assumption Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lander Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Lees-McRae Assumption   Assumption
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Assumption   Assumption
Lincoln Memorial Assumption   Assumption
Lynn Assumption   Assumption
Malone Assumption Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mars Hill Assumption   Assumption
Maryville Assumption   Assumption
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Molloy Assumption tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Assumption
Montevallo Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Mount Olive Assumption   Assumption
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Assumption   Assumption
Northwood Assumption   Assumption
Pace Pace Pace  
Palm Beach Atlantic Assumption   Assumption
Post Assumption Assumption  
Quincy Assumption   Assumption
Roberts Wesleyan Assumption Assumption  
Rockhurst Assumption   Assumption
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Seton Hill Seton Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seton Hill
Shorter Assumption   Assumption
Southern New Hampshire Assumption Assumption  
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm  
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Assumption tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Assumption
St Thomas Aquinas Assumption Assumption   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas More Assumption   Assumption
Tiffin Assumption   Assumption
Tusculum Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Virginia State Assumption Assumption  
Walsh Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Westminster (UT) Assumption   Assumption
Wheeling Assumption   Assumption
William Jewell Assumption   Assumption
Wilmington (DE) Assumption tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Assumption
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Assumption   Assumption

PowerWise = 64


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.19

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H D'Youville      ( 6- 3, 89.8)    22- 4      -10.13      12.43      -0.36         0.92            11.09
   0 H Mercy           ( 5- 4, 94.9)    12-13       -5.00      17.55      -0.36         0.92            -4.93
   0 A Georgian Court  ( 3- 7, 89.7)    17- 7      -10.18      12.37       0.36         0.92            11.70
   0 A Post            ( 6- 3, 89.6)    18-10      -10.30      12.25       0.36         0.92            11.59
   0 H Roberts Wesley  ( 3- 5, 89.2)    13- 5      -10.67      11.88      -0.36         0.92            10.59
   0 A Virginia State  ( 1- 7, 82.8)    21- 5      -17.12       5.43       0.36         0.92             5.33
   0 A Pace            ( 8- 1, 96.9)    10-11       -3.04      19.51       0.36         0.92            -2.46
   0 H Southern New H  ( 4- 3, 94.3)    11- 6       -5.64      16.91      -0.36         0.92            15.21
   0 A American Inter  ( 1- 8, 81.9)    24-12      -18.03       4.53       0.36         0.92             4.49
   0 H St Anselm       ( 7- 0, 98.7)    12-15       -1.20      21.35      -0.36         0.92            -1.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        61.17

winning pts = 70.0004 losing points = -8.8263

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------