UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Assumption 2
  
Assumption            
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 94.0187

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Post CACC ( 9- 7, 89.5) 12- 8 223 A Caldwell CACC ( 0-12, 82.4) 27- 2 228 A Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 6- 8, 89.5) 7- 4 302 A D'Youville ECC ( 6- 8, 87.3) 17- 1 308 H Georgian Court CACC (12- 6, 90.5) 8- 6 315 H Pace NE10 (11- 4, 95.7) 9-17 318 A Southern New Hampshire NE10 ( 5- 9, 91.1) 9- 7 322 H American International NE10 ( 2-11, 87.6) 26- 5 328 A St Anselm NE10 (12- 1, 97.4) 6- 7 402 H Franklin Pierce NE10 ( 2-10, 89.2) 13- 2 405 A St Michaels NE10 ( 7- 6, 91.6) 9- 5 411 A Adelphi NE10 (15- 1, 99.1) 5-16 415 H Bentley NE10 ( 8- 6, 94.6) 14-11 426 H Bentley NE10 ( 8- 6, 94.6) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Post                   12- 8       4     4           0.11
   223 A Caldwell               27- 2      25    11           0.00
   228 A Roberts Wesleyan        7- 4       3     4          -0.83
   302 A D'Youville             17- 1      16     6           0.00
   308 H Georgian Court          8- 6       2     4    -     -2.13
   315 H Pace                    9-17      -8    -1    -     -3.99
   318 A Southern New Hampshire  9- 7       2     2          -0.28
   322 H American International 26- 5      21     7           0.00
   328 A St Anselm               6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.00
   402 H Franklin Pierce        13- 2      11     5           0.00
   405 A St Michaels             9- 5       4     2    +      2.27
   411 A Adelphi                 5-16     -11    -6           0.00
   415 H Bentley                14-11       3     0    +      2.92
   426 H Bentley                11-12      -1     0          -1.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Georgian Court          8- 6       2     4    -     -2.13
   315 H Pace                    9-17      -8    -1    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A St Anselm               6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.00
   405 A St Michaels             9- 5       4     2    +      2.27
   415 H Bentley                14-11       3     0    +      2.92

Assumption Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adams State Assumption   Assumption
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi  
Alabama-Huntsville Assumption   Assumption
American International Assumption Assumption  
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Barton Assumption   Assumption
Belmont Abbey Assumption   Assumption
Bentley Bentley tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Bentley
Bridgeport Assumption Assumption   7- 1 vs 3- 4
Caldwell Assumption Assumption  
Catawba Assumption   Assumption
Chestnut Hill Assumption insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Assumption
Chowan Assumption   Assumption
Coker Assumption   Assumption
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Concordia-Irvine Concordia-Irvine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia-Irvine
D'Youville Assumption Assumption  
Davenport Assumption   Assumption
Davis & Elkins Assumption Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2
District of Columbia Assumption Assumption   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Dominican (CA) Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Dominican (NY) Assumption Assumption   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Assumption   Assumption
Emory & Henry Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Felician Assumption Assumption   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Assumption   Assumption
Franklin Pierce Assumption Assumption  
Frostburg State Assumption Assumption   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Georgian Court Assumption Assumption  
Holy Family Assumption Assumption   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Lake Erie Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Lander Assumption   Assumption
Lees-McRae Assumption   Assumption
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Assumption   Assumption
Lynn Lynn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lynn
Malone Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Mars Hill Assumption   Assumption
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
Mercy Assumption insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 3) Assumption
Molloy Molloy tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) Molloy
Montevallo Assumption   Assumption
Mount Olive Assumption   Assumption
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Assumption   Assumption
Northwood Assumption   Assumption
Pace Pace Pace  
Palm Beach Atlantic Assumption   Assumption
Post Assumption Assumption  
Quincy Assumption   Assumption
Roberts Wesleyan Assumption Assumption  
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rollins
Seton Hill Seton Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Seton Hill
Shorter Assumption   Assumption
Southern New Hampshire Assumption Assumption  
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm  
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Assumption Assumption  
St Thomas Aquinas Assumption Assumption   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas More Assumption   Assumption
Tiffin Assumption   Assumption
Tusculum Assumption   Assumption
Virginia State Assumption   Assumption
Walsh Assumption insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Assumption
Westminster (UT) Assumption   Assumption
Wheeling Assumption   Assumption
William Jewell Assumption   Assumption
Wilmington (DE) Assumption tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Assumption
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Assumption   Assumption

PowerWise = 54


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Post            ( 9- 7, 89.5)    12- 8      -10.42      14.68       0.64         1.04            15.99
   0 A Caldwell        ( 0-12, 82.4)    27- 2      -17.50       7.60       0.64         1.04             8.60
   0 A Roberts Wesley  ( 6- 8, 89.5)     7- 4      -10.35      14.74       0.64         1.04            16.05
   0 A D'Youville      ( 6- 8, 87.3)    17- 1      -12.65      12.45       0.64         1.04            13.66
   0 H Georgian Court  (12- 6, 90.5)     8- 6       -9.37      15.72      -0.64         1.04            15.73
   0 H Pace            (11- 4, 95.7)     9-17       -4.23      20.87      -0.64         1.04            -5.08
   0 A Southern New H  ( 5- 9, 91.1)     9- 7       -8.80      16.29       0.64         1.04            17.67
   0 H American Inter  ( 2-11, 87.6)    26- 5      -12.25      12.85      -0.64         1.04            12.73
   0 A St Anselm       (12- 1, 97.4)     6- 7       -2.53      22.57       0.64         1.04            -1.97
   0 H Franklin Pierc  ( 2-10, 89.2)    13- 2      -10.68      14.42      -0.64         1.04            14.37
   0 A St Michaels     ( 7- 6, 91.6)     9- 5       -8.26      16.84       0.64         1.04            18.24
   0 A Adelphi         (15- 1, 99.1)     5-16       -0.82      24.28       0.64         1.04            -0.18
   0 H Bentley         ( 8- 6, 94.6)    14-11       -5.31      19.78      -0.64         1.04            19.97
   0 H Bentley         ( 8- 6, 94.6)    11-12       -5.31      19.78      -0.64         1.04            -6.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       139.58

winning pts = 153.0228 losing points = -13.4442

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------