Assumption 
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 94.0187
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
221 A Post CACC ( 9- 7, 89.5) 12- 8
223 A Caldwell CACC ( 0-12, 82.4) 27- 2
228 A Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 6- 8, 89.5) 7- 4
302 A D'Youville ECC ( 6- 8, 87.3) 17- 1
308 H Georgian Court CACC (12- 6, 90.5) 8- 6
315 H Pace NE10 (11- 4, 95.7) 9-17
318 A Southern New Hampshire NE10 ( 5- 9, 91.1) 9- 7
322 H American International NE10 ( 2-11, 87.6) 26- 5
328 A St Anselm NE10 (12- 1, 97.4) 6- 7
402 H Franklin Pierce NE10 ( 2-10, 89.2) 13- 2
405 A St Michaels NE10 ( 7- 6, 91.6) 9- 5
411 A Adelphi NE10 (15- 1, 99.1) 5-16
415 H Bentley NE10 ( 8- 6, 94.6) 14-11
426 H Bentley NE10 ( 8- 6, 94.6) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 A Post 12- 8 4 4 0.11
223 A Caldwell 27- 2 25 11 0.00
228 A Roberts Wesleyan 7- 4 3 4 -0.83
302 A D'Youville 17- 1 16 6 0.00
308 H Georgian Court 8- 6 2 4 - -2.13
315 H Pace 9-17 -8 -1 - -3.99
318 A Southern New Hampshire 9- 7 2 2 -0.28
322 H American International 26- 5 21 7 0.00
328 A St Anselm 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.00
402 H Franklin Pierce 13- 2 11 5 0.00
405 A St Michaels 9- 5 4 2 + 2.27
411 A Adelphi 5-16 -11 -6 0.00
415 H Bentley 14-11 3 0 + 2.92
426 H Bentley 11-12 -1 0 -1.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Georgian Court 8- 6 2 4 - -2.13
315 H Pace 9-17 -8 -1 - -3.99
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 A St Anselm 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.00
405 A St Michaels 9- 5 4 2 + 2.27
415 H Bentley 14-11 3 0 + 2.92
|
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adams State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
 
| |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
American International |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Barton |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Belmont Abbey |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) |
Bentley |
Bridgeport |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   7- 1 vs 3- 4 |
|
Caldwell |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Catawba |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Chestnut Hill |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Assumption |
Chowan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Coker |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Concordia-Irvine |
Concordia-Irvine |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Concordia-Irvine |
D'Youville |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Davenport |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Davis & Elkins |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
District of Columbia |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Dominican (CA) |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Dominican (NY) |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   6- 0 vs 1- 5 |
|
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Emory & Henry |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Felician |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
Florida Tech |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Franklin Pierce |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Frostburg State |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
Georgian Court |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
 
| Indianapolis |
Lake Erie |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Lander |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lees-McRae |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Lewis |
|
 
| Lewis |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynn |
Malone |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
Mars Hill |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
Mercy |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 3) |
Assumption |
Molloy |
Molloy |
|
tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) |
Molloy |
Montevallo |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Mount Olive |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Northwood |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Pace |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Post |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Quincy |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
 
| Rockhurst |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rollins |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Seton Hill |
Shorter |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Southern New Hampshire |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
 
| |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
 
| St Leo |
St Michaels |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   5- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
 
| Tampa |
Thomas More |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Tiffin |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Tusculum |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Virginia State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Walsh |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Assumption |
Westminster (UT) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Wheeling |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
William Jewell |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Wilmington (DE) |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Assumption |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
Young Harris |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
PowerWise = 54

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Post ( 9- 7, 89.5) 12- 8 -10.42 14.68 0.64 1.04 15.99
0 A Caldwell ( 0-12, 82.4) 27- 2 -17.50 7.60 0.64 1.04 8.60
0 A Roberts Wesley ( 6- 8, 89.5) 7- 4 -10.35 14.74 0.64 1.04 16.05
0 A D'Youville ( 6- 8, 87.3) 17- 1 -12.65 12.45 0.64 1.04 13.66
0 H Georgian Court (12- 6, 90.5) 8- 6 -9.37 15.72 -0.64 1.04 15.73
0 H Pace (11- 4, 95.7) 9-17 -4.23 20.87 -0.64 1.04 -5.08
0 A Southern New H ( 5- 9, 91.1) 9- 7 -8.80 16.29 0.64 1.04 17.67
0 H American Inter ( 2-11, 87.6) 26- 5 -12.25 12.85 -0.64 1.04 12.73
0 A St Anselm (12- 1, 97.4) 6- 7 -2.53 22.57 0.64 1.04 -1.97
0 H Franklin Pierc ( 2-10, 89.2) 13- 2 -10.68 14.42 -0.64 1.04 14.37
0 A St Michaels ( 7- 6, 91.6) 9- 5 -8.26 16.84 0.64 1.04 18.24
0 A Adelphi (15- 1, 99.1) 5-16 -0.82 24.28 0.64 1.04 -0.18
0 H Bentley ( 8- 6, 94.6) 14-11 -5.31 19.78 -0.64 1.04 19.97
0 H Bentley ( 8- 6, 94.6) 11-12 -5.31 19.78 -0.64 1.04 -6.22
------
139.58
|
winning pts = 153.0228 losing points = -13.4442
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------