Assumption 
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 96.0004
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H D'Youville ECC ( 6- 3, 89.8) 22- 4
214 H Mercy ECC ( 5- 4, 94.9) 12-13
221 A Georgian Court CACC ( 3- 7, 89.7) 17- 7
227 A Post CACC ( 6- 3, 89.6) 18-10
301 H Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 3- 5, 89.2) 13- 5
307 A Virginia State D2 Independen ( 1- 7, 82.8) 21- 5
314 A Pace NE10 ( 8- 1, 96.9) 10-11
317 H Southern New Hampshire NE10 ( 4- 3, 94.3) 11- 6
321 A American International NE10 ( 1- 8, 81.9) 24-12
328 H St Anselm NE10 ( 7- 0, 98.7) 12-15
401 A Franklin Pierce NE10 ( 2- 5, 85.7)
404 H St Michaels NE10 ( 6- 2, 95.4)
411 H Adelphi NE10 ( 9- 0, 99.9)
414 A Bentley NE10 ( 3- 5, 93.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H D'Youville 22- 4 18 7 0.00
214 H Mercy 12-13 -1 1 - -2.46
221 A Georgian Court 17- 7 10 6 0.00
227 A Post 18-10 8 6 0.00
301 H Roberts Wesleyan 13- 5 8 7 0.00
307 A Virginia State 21- 5 16 13 0.00
314 A Pace 10-11 -1 -1 0.22
317 H Southern New Hampshire 11- 6 5 2 + 2.90
321 A American International 24-12 12 14 0.00
328 H St Anselm 12-15 -3 -2 -0.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Mercy 12-13 -1 1 - -2.46
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Southern New Hampshire 11- 6 5 2 + 2.90
|
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adams State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Adelphi |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| American International |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
| Barton |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Belmont Abbey |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Bentley |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Assumption |
| Bridgeport |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Assumption |
| Caldwell |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Catawba |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Chestnut Hill |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Chowan |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Assumption |
| Coker |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Colorado Mesa |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Concordia-Irvine |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| D'Youville |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Davenport |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Davis & Elkins |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| District of Columbia |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Dominican (CA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Dominican (NY) |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Embry-Riddle |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Emory & Henry |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Felician |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Flagler |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Florida Southern |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
| Franklin Pierce |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Assumption |
| Frostburg State |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Assumption |
| Georgian Court |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Holy Family |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Assumption |
| Indianapolis |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lake Erie |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lander |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Lees-McRae |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
| Lewis |
Lewis |
|
 
| Lewis |
| Limestone |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lynn |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Malone |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Mars Hill |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Maryville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Mercy |
Mercy |
Mercy |
 
| |
| Molloy |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) |
Assumption |
| Montevallo |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Mount Olive |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
| North Greenville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Northwood |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Pace |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Post |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Quincy |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Rockhurst |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
| Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Seton Hill |
| Shorter |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
 
| |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
 
| St Leo |
| St Michaels |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Assumption |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
 
| Tampa |
| Thomas More |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Tiffin |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Tusculum |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Virginia State |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Walsh |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Westminster (UT) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Wheeling |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| William Jewell |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) |
Assumption |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
PowerWise = 64

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.19
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H D'Youville ( 6- 3, 89.8) 22- 4 -10.13 12.43 -0.36 0.92 11.09
0 H Mercy ( 5- 4, 94.9) 12-13 -5.00 17.55 -0.36 0.92 -4.93
0 A Georgian Court ( 3- 7, 89.7) 17- 7 -10.18 12.37 0.36 0.92 11.70
0 A Post ( 6- 3, 89.6) 18-10 -10.30 12.25 0.36 0.92 11.59
0 H Roberts Wesley ( 3- 5, 89.2) 13- 5 -10.67 11.88 -0.36 0.92 10.59
0 A Virginia State ( 1- 7, 82.8) 21- 5 -17.12 5.43 0.36 0.92 5.33
0 A Pace ( 8- 1, 96.9) 10-11 -3.04 19.51 0.36 0.92 -2.46
0 H Southern New H ( 4- 3, 94.3) 11- 6 -5.64 16.91 -0.36 0.92 15.21
0 A American Inter ( 1- 8, 81.9) 24-12 -18.03 4.53 0.36 0.92 4.49
0 H St Anselm ( 7- 0, 98.7) 12-15 -1.20 21.35 -0.36 0.92 -1.44
------
61.17
|
winning pts = 70.0004 losing points = -8.8263
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------